Rick Santorum Can Win the GOP Nomination if Social Conservatism Trumps Fiscal Conservatism in 2012

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Rick Santorum, Michigan, GOP nomination

Rick Santorum Can Win the GOP Nomination if Social Conservatism Trumps Fiscal Conservatism in 2012

For anyone considering supporting Rick Santorum’s White House run, I would recommend reading his 2005 book, It Takes a Family. Rick Santorum mixes no words in defining his world view. In November 2005, he wrote an op-ed for Townhall.com outlining his vision for "Compassionate Conservatism."

Compassionate Conservatism relies on healthy families, freedom of faith, a vibrant civil society, a proper understanding of the individual, and a focused government to achieve noble purposes through definable objectives which offers hope to all.

You will find no argument among Pennsylvanians, Rick Santorum is a life-long social conservative fiercely committed to protecting religious and constitutional rights.

In 2001, Santorum tried unsuccessfully to insert language which came to be known as the "Santorum Amendment" into the No Child Left Behind bill that sought to promote the teaching of intelligent design. In a 2002 Washington Times op-ed article Santorum wrote that intelligent design "is a legitimate scientific theory that should be taught in science classes.” By 2005, Santorum had adopted the Discovery Institute's Teach the Controversy approach.

Santorum and U.S. Senator John Kerry, (D-MA), were the lead sponsors of the Workplace Religious Freedom Act (WRFA), which would require employers to accommodate the religious observances of their employees.

During 20 years of service in the House and Senate, Rick Santorum never altered his view concerning our nation’s role in military engagement. He was a leading proponent for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Santorum’s view on the role of diplomacy caused him to be one of two votes in the Senate against the confirmation of Robert Gates as Defense Secretary.

In 2006, Santorum opposed President George W. Bush’s bi-partisan immigration reform proposal. He has not waived during the GOP presidential campaign in his opposition to amnesty for illegal immigrants.

Many might wonder how Santorum lost his Senate seat representing voters in Pennsylvania who President Barack Obama once noted “cling to guns or religion.” There are at least three theories:

One camp contends Santorum’s personal decisions caused major erosion in his support. Santorum moved his family into a Virginian home an hour outside of Washington back in 2001. This decision surprised few as the Santorum’s family values system had deemed Pennsylvania an unacceptable option for his children. The Senator’s children never attended public or private school in Pennsylvania, but were cyber-schooled. Santorum’s departure from Pennsylvania echoed his voting record, which showed him having filed an absentee ballot since 1995.

A second camp concentrates on Santorum’s record as out of touch with voter’s core concerns in 2006. Polling in 2006 showed the state had grown weary of dual Middle East conflicts requiring repeated deployment of far too many military reserve units. The majority of voters opposed Santorum’s support for privatizing Social Security investment. Additionally, a sluggish economy had led to rapidly rising budget and national deficits worries.

Santorum offers a third spin. He contends none of the above contributed to his defeat. He believes his loss was largely reflective of an anti-Bush wave sweeping the country during the 2006 election cycle which returned power to the Democratic party in both Houses of Congress and across the nation.

Can Santorum win the GOP nomination? That is a question only caucus members and delegates to the national convention will be able to answer. The question Republicans must answer is: Is this election about social conservatism, fiscal conservatism, or a most perfect mix?

If it is about the former, Rick Santorum could become the GOP nominee. If it is about the later, Republicans might be left staging a brokered convention come August.

Photo Credit: marcn

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Rick Mathews

Author "Resurrecting Common Sense in America". Co-founder Voices of US www.voicesof.us .Christian, Conservative, Married for 24 years a...

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Sal Bommarito

Mr. Matthews- This is an outstanding essay that gives Republicans something to think about before we pull a handle in the primaries. I'm particularly concerned with the passion of Santorum regarding social values. He is pushing the envelope too far for many Americans, essentially trying to impose religious beliefs into government policy. This violates one of the most important principles of our nation- the separation of Church and State. I don't begrudge others from practicing their religion in any way they want so long as they don't ram it down my throat. Social conservatism is code for intrusive government, in our bedrooms, in our minds and in our schools. My understanding is that Santorum had his clocked cleaned in his last senatorial race. He lost by a huge margin. To say he was out of touch with voters, is therefore an understatement, if not a lie. It would be okay to blame Bush for a few percentage points, but ten or more? He was just a lousy candidate. Republicans should learn from this, and stay away from Santorum- I think he is a sure fire loser. I see a rerun of the Johnson/Goldwater occurring in November. What credentials does Santorum have from a financial perspective? He was a short term senator. Moreover, his foreign policy experience is nil. What does the man bring to the table? He's not an orator, in fact he's boring. All he is is the latest alternative to Mitt Romney; we are just about finished looking at all the options.

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As I look at the Republican primary season I don't see any reasonable challenger to President Obama. In Mr. Romney I see a dressed up "politician" who has changed positions on every issue a few times. In Mr Santorum I see a passionate candidate who has failed to prove he can win.

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All at the white house are praying for a Santorum victory.

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My blood boils every time I hear someone say we should teach ID in science classes. ID is creationism 2.0 and is NOT valid scientific theory. The fact that Santorum tried to make it federal law that all schools have to teach ID in science classes shows that he is more interested in pushing his religious beliefs onto everyone than he is in letting people be free to make their own choices.

In my viewpoint, Santorum redefines how G.W. Bush defined compassionate conservatism. Where Bush would nudge, which I supported, Santorum wants to push people down the path he sees best. Huge difference!

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  • Rick Mathews 3 months ago David - You are not alone in your v...

David - You are not alone in your viewpoint. As was noted in my article, many factors contributed to PA's defeat of the Senator by a historic record of 18%. Compassionate Conservatism as definde by the Senator was one such factor.

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  • Susan Kraykowski 3 months ago Gentlemen, both: we lived near Harr...

Gentlemen, both: we lived near Harrisburg, PA, 2000 - 2005, during the Santorum term in the Senate and you both know I have nothing good to say about him. He appealed to people in PA who really do live in the 19th Century - the Amish - who are charming and fine folks but who have carved out a little place in time and space for their own, with no regard for the rest of us. If Rick Santorum has his way; we'll all be timewarped there.

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  • Rick Mathews 3 months ago Last straw to me was Santorum refus...

Last straw to me was Santorum refusing to pay the cyber school bill for the years he lived in Virginia, rented his PA residency but had Penn Hills school district picking up tab for his kids education.

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Please Santa, please please please let Santorum get the nomination. I wanna do a happy dance in November when Obama wins by a record margin.

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  • Rick Merrill 3 months ago That would be Christmas in November...

That would be Christmas in November. Please, please, please... Even if the economy were to tank we could beat Santorum!

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Everybody on Policymic knows I'm no Santorum fan...and for all the reasons Sal, John and George have presented below.

My analysis is this: most of the American electorate doesn't really "get" that Rick Santorum has such a radical theocratic bent to his politics. They still see him as another alternative to Mitt Romney - so the message that he's not a GOOD alternative isn't getting through.

Neither is Richard's thesis that there's a distinct dichotomy now between fiscal and social conservatives. I believe that this, in the end, will destroy the Republican Party as it is currently constituted.

Mitt Romney represents the fiscal conservatives, more or less. He is more fiscally radical than the old fashioned Eastern Establishment Rockefellar Republicans, but perhaps that's neither here nor there. When Ronald Reagan made his unholy bargain with the Christian Conservative movement - and politicized issues and people that ought never to have been brought into the political arena - he also made a falling-out inevitable.

The Tea Party factions who haven't joined the Ron Paul movement have continued to advance the social issues and they are the ones who are passing these radical anti-birth control and anti-abortion bills in State Legislatures all over the country.

The Republican Party is at war with itself. I don't see them patching this up any time soon - and certainly not before the Convention.

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  • Rick Mathews 3 months ago Susan: As an FYI, the PolicyMic ...

  • George Schieck 3 months ago There's been an ongoing, if mu...

Susan:

As an FYI, the PolicyMic prompt I attempted to develop this narrative around was, "Could Rick Santorum Win GOP nomination?

I did attempt to answer that question. I do not support Senator Santorum and was admittedly biased in listing several of my concerns within the body of the narrative.

I am of similar opinion to you that the Republican Party is at war with itself conflicted by divergent priority concerns from multiple factions.

Now that is the bad news for conservatives. A party divided against itself much like a country cannot stand.

While I don't know if I can bring the resolution to this "civil war" up to PolicyMic standards but if it the Editorial Board can resolve certain issues, I hope to bring forth a plausible peace.

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There's been an ongoing, if muted, tussle within the GOP regarding 'social' v. 'fiscal' v. 'moderate' for many years. One of the reasons it's been muted is because, since the 70's, the GOP majority has actively (or passively) supported 'social'.

Now, however, that majority is thinning out, perhaps even becoming a minority, & is increasingly on the defensive.

The GOP redefined itself (big tent) in the 70's, although that 'tent' very quickly became stratified ('social'). Another internal GOP redefinition or realignment is approaching, & the 2016 election cycle may catalyze that process. A 'big tent' might actually return, without stratification.

Religion must come to terms w/modernity (& fundamentalism needs to depart from politics).

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  • Susan Kraykowski 3 months ago I agree with your analysis; just do...

I agree with your analysis; just don't think the situation within the GOP tent can be characterized any longer as "muted tussle." I think the 2 antithetical wings have escalated this to whatever level is just short of nuclear confrontation and THIS is the year of armageddon. By 2016, the Republicans as you and I used to think of them will be out in the wilderness, picking up pieces and looking for the shards of meaning - much like the Democrats of the 80's.

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  • George Schieck 3 months ago Yes, "muteness" is being ...

  • Susan Kraykowski 3 months ago And if - as the Democrats hope and ...

  • Brian Knight 3 months ago Recently it seems like political pa...

Yes, "muteness" is being replaced by spirited & even passionate debate.

As for armageddon - not yet. Romney is not one to lead such a debate; he's too concerned about winning, & will say anything to anyone. Santorum doesn't feel the sinking ship; he's galvanized by recent primaries & will remain blind until after November results (& perhaps forever). Paul has his own agenda. And Newt - well, he's Newt.

But the GOP in 2016 will be wide open: everyone will want to be heard, & to help recover from the 2012 debacle. Discussion will be center stage about who & what GOP is, even what the role of govt is (some of that has begun). The party could even splinter - hard to say.

Dems may have easy access to the White House (for now).

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And if - as the Democrats hope and pray for - it's a Democratic year this year? If Republicans are routed en masse from Senate, House, State offices down through dogcatcher?

These things do happen, although I'm not ready to call it yet. Both races will be wide open in 2016 but that's much too far in the future - politically, anyway - to bother predicting.

Cassandra knows her limits.

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Recently it seems like political parties are being sent to the wilderness with more and more frequency (D's in 04, 10; R's in 06, 08). I think this is because the parties are losing their salience for more and more Americans, which means less willingness to compromise for the good of the party.

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Hmmm...
Brian, you may be confusing the normal give/take exchange of politics for what we were talking about. It's normal that the electorate votes in or out R's and D's as they see fit when elections come. Some times you get majorities and some times you get divided government. You very seldom get the type of landslide we got - for example - in 1964, when everything went the Democrats' way and we not only had Johnson in the White House but Democratic majorities in the House and Senate that LASTED for the next 20+ years. Something similar happened when Reagan was elected to the presidency: the Republican majorities in House and Senate LASTED for more than one political cycle.

THAT is the sort of "time in the wilderness" that needs a serious, total-party re-think. Most of us - R's and D's alike - think the Republicans are heading for just such a time.

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What I am saying is b/c party identification is at historically low levels on both sides the relationship of parties to people may be changing, resulting in parties seemingly being rejected by the people and being competitive again almost immediately b/c there isn't the same brand attachment

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It's very possible, Brian. I can't recall which thread it's on but we recently had a long discussion about the various reasons people register Independent as opposed to Republican or Democrat.

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Santorum has certainly presented himself as the loud & proud social conservative throughout the 2012 race, and that's the image he's hoping to ride into the GOP nomination.

But this is the wrong year for those issues. While they've temporarily crept back into the national spotlight as of late, make no mistake: jobs, the economy, federal spending, the debt & deficit, and taxes will be front and center in 2012, not abortion or gay marriage.

I believe Mitt Romney will find a way more recptive audience this election than Santorum will. The independents & swing voters of America are definitely up for grabs, and I don't think Santorum will win em over with statements like, "A kid is better off with a father in jail than with 2 lesbian mothers."

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  • Rick Mathews 3 months ago John - your observations have valid...

John - your observations have validity. Thank you for taking the time to read the essay.

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  • John Giokaris 3 months ago My pleasure Richard! Thank you....

My pleasure Richard! Thank you.

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Social Conservatism, and its base of fundamentalism (i.e. the term "conservative" in this context is both misleading and inaccurate), does not belong in politics. And the GOP needs to wake up.

If Santorum wins the nomination, voters in November won't see an alternative to Obama, they'll see instead a fundamentalist. And the election will be little more than a formality presaging Obama's second term in the White House.

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  • Rick Mathews 3 months ago George - I don't know if you r...

George - I don't know if you read my essay attempting to define the competing types of Conservatism which PM featured but to me, simply claiming to be the most Socially Conservative candidate running is not a significant credential.

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  • George Schieck 3 months ago Your essay sounds interesting, Rich...

Your essay sounds interesting, Richard - I'll look for it.

I no longer think it's possible to capture "conservatism" and put a label on it. Rather, I believe it's closer to a state of mind, or a view of human nature. There are no timeless formulas in politics. As for the varieties of "conservatism" now vying for central billing (social, fiscal, other), I don't think either one of them is a tonic for the country's current malady.

As for "social conservatism", I once heard a protestant clergyman say, from a respected pulpit, that the so-called "Christian Right" was neither Christian nor Right (i.e. correct). That same msg needs to enter public political discourse.

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  • Rick Mathews 3 months ago The evolution or as some on the lef...

  • George Schieck 3 months ago Yes, thanks Richard, I will look fo...

The evolution or as some on the left contend de-evolution of Republican conservatism both split the party and left many outside their tent. There remains a contention the nation remains fiscally conservative yet continually turning away from either major party. If you are interested in my PM essay on GOP conservatism you can find it listed among my contribtuions to this forum. There aren't many so clicking into my profile makes finding it pretty quick.

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Yes, thanks Richard, I will look for it.

I doubt if "fiscal conservative" can lead us out of our present wilderness. The govt's primary dilemma, now, is structural. Uncle Sam is simply spread all over the financial map, so to speak, and he needs to reconsider what the bounds of a governmental map entail (fiscally).

Similarly, Natasha Malpani just wrote a marvelous piece (on PRC & EU) indicating similar structural changes needed in Europe. It's our combined legacy from WW II, when govts on both sides of the Atlantic embraced new responsibilities in the mid-20th century.

We need to rethink that. Fiscal conservatism is not necessarily the answer. Rather, I think, it's a deeper combination of restructuring and general prudence.

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Mr. Matthews- This is an outstanding essay that gives Republicans something to think about before we pull a handle in the primaries.

I'm particularly concerned with the passion of Santorum regarding social values. He is pushing the envelope too far for many Americans, essentially trying to impose religious beliefs into government policy. This violates one of the most important principles of our nation- the separation of Church and State. I don't begrudge others from practicing their religion in any way they want so long as they don't ram it down my throat. Social conservatism is code for intrusive government, in our bedrooms, in our minds and in our schools.

My understanding is that Santorum had his clocked cleaned in his last senatorial race. He lost by a huge margin. To say he was out of touch with voters, is therefore an understatement, if not a lie. It would be okay to blame Bush for a few percentage points, but ten or more? He was just a lousy candidate. Republicans should learn from this, and stay away from Santorum- I think he is a sure fire loser. I see a rerun of the Johnson/Goldwater occurring in November.

What credentials does Santorum have from a financial perspective? He was a short term senator. Moreover, his foreign policy experience is nil. What does the man bring to the table? He's not an orator, in fact he's boring. All he is is the latest alternative to Mitt Romney; we are just about finished looking at all the options.

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  • Rick Mathews 3 months ago Sal - Mr father is Mr. Mathews, I&...

Sal - Mr father is Mr. Mathews, I'm just Rick.

On a more serious note. thank you for the kind words.

Senator Santorum served PA for four years in the House and twelve years in the Senate staying true to his view of Compassionate Conservatism. What he did not stay true to were the fiscally conservative views of voters throughout this Commonwealth.

I do though give him credit for honestly campaigning he voted for every increase in Debt Ceiling, voted for Medicare Part D without a new funding source and received over a Billion in earmarks for PA projects.

As voters learn more about the Senator's fiscal record and to a degree his social positions, I will be surprised if his support does not fall nearly as quickly as it has risen.

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"Is this election about social conservatism, fiscal conservatism, or a most perfect mix?"

- Neither. It's about who can get the most money, and commit the most cases of election fraud. See: Maine.

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  • John Giokaris 3 months ago Seamus...even Ron Paul doesn't...

Seamus...even Ron Paul doesn't want the 2012 nomination anymore. At this point, he's just trying to get 10-15 minutes at the Republican National Convention in August, then he's retiring at the end of the year. Get over it.

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  • Seamus Light 3 months ago "even Ron Paul doesn't wa...

"even Ron Paul doesn't want the 2012 nomination anymore."

- Ah, so that's why he's still fighting tooth and nail to get delegates, holding million-dollar money bombs, and organizing campaign tours.

This is far from over, John.
Get over it.

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  • John Giokaris 3 months ago It's just a messaging tour at ...

  • Seamus Light 3 months ago Delegates have not been awarded in ...

It's just a messaging tour at this point. He's too far behind in the delegate count. Don't jump out a window this summer.

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Delegates have not been awarded in most states thus far. And to win the straw polling does not mean you have the delegates. There are some countries in states like Iowa where Santorum won the straw polls by a landslide, but Ron Paul got all the delegates simply because they remembered to stay for the second part.

Even in Massachusetts, a primary state, there's still a caucus afterwards.

"Don't jump out a window this summer."
- I wish I could say the same.

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